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Macro and Economics

Fed’s Holiday Playbook
A tactical guide to the Fed’s holiday playbook: Santa’s cuts, Krampus pauses, and bonds trying to avoid the inflation ghost lurking by the fire.
Quick rates update: one month anniversary
Model for the long end of rates
The macro setup for equities
In the prior research report, we framed the paths for U.S.
Quick China stimulus update
I formally issue an errata, renaming the prior research piece to: Fed goes big and China goes home.
Quick rates update post NFP
The 2% target is now the lower bound
Fed and China go big or go home
Fed goes for 50bps and China gives you money to buy domestic stonks… So what’s the trade a week later?
STIR butterflies from Yield curve flip flops
How should we think of our rates hedges to lazy equity longs now?
Hysteria from Hysteresis and Path Dependence – Clearinghouses
Goldilocks sounds all well and nice, however, there is no alpha to generate if there is no uncertainty.
What is the likely path for growth now? – What is my credit card limit?
How has Yellen’s shopping been doing?
What is the likely path for growth now? A Reverse Repo Story
Show me the Money!
The tale of Goldilocks getting eaten by the bears
I have been to many stakings- you have to know where to stand! You know, everything in life is positioning, positioning, positioning…
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